Home Purchase Sentiment – Most Renters are Ready to Buy
Fannie Mae has conducted a national survey for the past few years asking questions to generate a result on their Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). According to Fannie Mae, the HPSI “reflects consumers’ current views and forward-looking expectations of housing market conditions and complements existing data sources to inform housing-related analysis and decision making.”
Home Purchase Sentiment Low
This past April, the Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) hit an all-time low at the height of the pandemic lockdown. We have yet to see what the future holds, but for now, the past two months have started to increase and gain a more positive view of homebuying. The Home Purchase Sentiment Index increased 9.0 points in June to 76.5, building further on the prior month’s advance after approaching a survey low in April. According to Fannie Mae, “Four of the six HPSI components increased month over month, with consumers reporting a significantly more positive view of homebuying and home-selling conditions, as well as greater optimism regarding home price appreciation. Year over year, the HPSI is down 15.0 points.”
Home Purchase Sentiment Increase
According to Doug Duncan, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, “a second month of improvement in June allowed the HPSI to regain some of the sharp losses in optimism observed in March and April.” This home purchase sentiment for renters is especially high; actually, the highest it has been among renters in five years. This information suggests favorable conditions for first-time homebuying. This data is “consistent with the recent rebound in home purchase activity.”
Graph from Fannie Mae National Housing Survey
Supply of Homes For Purchase
Homeowners seem to have taken note of the home purchase activity and the resulting lack of housing supply. They, too, have an increased share in the sentiment of it being a good time to sell a home. According to Doug Duncan, “this activity may cool again in the coming months, depending on the extent to which it can be attributed to consumers having chosen to delay or to accelerate homebuying plans due to the pandemic.” Many survey respondents are worried about the economy. Many respondents cite concerns about job security. This is the key takeaway for most renters and homeowners with taking on a mortgage.
As previously mentioned, many homeowners do believe it is a good time to sell, however, the lack of inventory continues to drive prices up. According to Realtor.com, the national inventory declined by 27.4 percent year-over-year, and inventory in large markets decreased by 26.5 percent. This has driven prices up nationally by 5.1%. Due to low mortgage rates and that limited inventory, buyers do not seem to be arguing as much against the market.